Estimates of Normal Distribution: 1285319

  1. Estimates of normal distribution

Averages price at normal distribution is 19.44

The Standard Deviation is 4.37

  • The probability that Q3 2013 is greater than 3 million is

0.6 From the frequency distribution.

       c) Parameters of uniform distributions

  • Probabilities that Kony’s profit is less than 0 is  0.19
  •  The probability is 0.8

Question two

  1. For 1,000,000 contact quantity and exercise profit of $16.75 the Net profit is $111,714,790

And for 2,000,000 contact quantity and exercise profit of $17 per LCD the Net profit is $102,659,676

  • The probability is less than 0 is 7/19 = 0.37

Question Three

  1. -$5,655,852
  2. The Loss increased.
  3. The Sport price. Because it increases the price of LCD which is not easily available.

Question Four

  1. The optimum quantity that gives a profit is 2,323,463
  2. The change in Kony’s profit $14,108,122 – $14,646,487 = $538,366
  3. Sport Price. Raises the price of the product in demand.
  4. The factor that drives the option contract quantity is the supply and demand curve. If the supply is low the price will go high if the demand goes high and vice verses.

Question Five

  1. The quantity offered for Kony is 2,170,000
  2. 2,323,463

Question six

  1. In the analysis Q1 does best $63,135,800 as compared with the others.
  2. Expected profit $ 2,258,557.
  3. The sport price imposed the LCD module.
  4. The demand for the finished product.
  5. Q2. It has the highest returns.
  6. The profit will reduce due to the imposition of sport price.
  7. The availability of the scarce module which is part of the special and important part of the production.
PriceSport p.Q4price $Sport p.profit/lossQ1price $Sport p.proft/lossQ2price $Sport p.proft/loss
16.75 0.50 46,979,730 3,911,950 16.75 0.50 67,481,136 2,258,557 16.75 0.50 38,960,102 1,487,500 16.75 0.50 25659382.16
16.75 0.50 42,509,959 4,223,390 16.75 0.50 72,853,481 2,661,807 16.75 0.50 45,916,178 1,390,197 16.75 0.50 23980898.1
16.75 0.50 38,348,378 3,239,262 16.75 0.50 55,877,264 2,269,364 16.75 0.50 39,146,536 1,611,672 16.75 0.50 27801337.33
16.75 0.50 47,243,007 3,907,584 16.75 0.50 67,405,827 1,882,534 16.75 0.50 32,473,715 1,964,036 16.75 0.50 33879625.47
16.75 0.50 55,192,494 4,241,820 16.75 0.50 73,171,391 1,041,438 16.75 0.50 17,964,800 1,765,438 16.75 0.50 30453800.44
16.75 0.50 55,410,012 2,408,890 16.75 0.50 41,553,345 2,003,061 16.75 0.50 34,552,808 1,292,325 16.75 0.50 22292612.07
16.75 0.50 40,652,061 1,898,799 16.75 0.50 32,754,276 1,967,978 16.75 0.50 33,947,626 1,675,483 16.75 0.50 28902077.41
16.75 0.50 28,993,118 4,540,613 16.75 0.50 78,325,578 1,316,541 16.75 0.50 22,710,330 1,926,489 16.75 0.50 33231935.12
16.75 0.50 17,152,543 3,757,408 16.75 0.50 64,815,293 1,373,626 16.75 0.50 23,695,056 1,382,849 16.75 0.50 23854146.74
16.75 0.50 15,056,508 3,333,856 16.75 0.50 57,509,019 2,400,883 16.75 0.50 41,415,224 721,844 16.75 0.50 12451816.17
16.75 0.50 37,028,206 2,034,586 16.75 0.50 35,096,600 2,024,890 16.75 0.50 34,929,360 1,197,403 16.75 0.50 20655200.43
16.75 0.50 45,675,209 5,091,078 16.75 0.50 87,821,094 2,039,626 16.75 0.50 35,183,552 1,638,323 16.75 0.50 28261071.43
16.75 0.50 26,065,817 3,548,140 16.75 0.50 61,205,417 1,784,336 16.75 0.50 30,779,789 1,401,582 16.75 0.50 24177283.44
16.75 0.50 32,703,646 4,677,350 16.75 0.50 80,684,279 1,955,100 16.75 0.50 33,725,474 1,432,602 16.75 0.50 24712383.58
16.75 0.50 41,724,533 3,998,852 16.75 0.50 68,980,204 2,453,802 16.75 0.50 42,328,079 1,542,571 16.75 0.50 26609353.96
16.75 0.50 17,449,566 4,429,538 16.75 0.50 76,409,531 2,466,539 16.75 0.50 42,547,798 1,063,391 16.75 0.50 18343501.01
16.75 0.50 19,435,010 3,268,046 16.75 0.50 56,373,798 2,365,305 16.75 0.50 40,801,513 1,162,356 16.75 0.50 20050644.29
16.75 0.50 44,018,680 3,209,706 16.75 0.50 55,367,425 1,240,559 16.75 0.50 21,399,638 1,317,488 16.75 0.50 22726669.93
16.75 0.50 55,997,120 3,820,014 16.75 0.50 65,895,247 2,860,287 16.75 0.50 49,339,958 16.75 0.50 0
37,243,979 3,660,046 63,135,800 2,019,275 34,832,502 1,442,975 23,581,249 
 366,046.00  2,019,275.00  1,442,975.00