Scenario Building for City of Wuhan: 1323978

Wuhan is the capital of Hubei province with thirteen districts. The city has evolved tremendously over the years boasting of the best research institutions, universities and business hubs. The city is densely populated with the population opting to stay in the city due to the economic opportunities that the city offers.

Geographical factors;

The city is in the East-central Hubei. It is located along the Han River which flows into the Yangtze River. The river offers opportunities for fishing activities which generates income to the people of Wuhan. The river also links the city with the nearby cities acting as a transportation center of central china. It has comprises three towns, Wuchang, Hanou and Hanyang which were consolidated in 1927 and link together by bridges boating the top state of the art bridge known as the First Bridge which is a tourist attraction center. It also has 200 lakes comprising of the largest lakes in China and mountains within its limits (Zhang, et. al., 2019).

Socioeconomic factors;

The city has numerous educational and research institutes. The institutes attract scholars from all over the world and within China. It has the best university with botanical gardens researching on various plant species. The institutions offer knowledge for citizens who later earn their income through job opportunities in studied areas. The city has the largest market, the Wuhan seafood market, which attracts traders from the surrounding towns. It deals with live animal and seafood trade. Many traders do this as an economic activity do better their living standards (Li, et. al., 2016).

Political factors;

The city is governed by the Wuhan nationalist government. The government has legislations on the trade, transport systems, property and real estate developments and other business facilities and centers. The politics in the city is stable and enhances trade and developments by providing security for the residents and tourists within the city (Chun, 2016).

The issues leading to crime within the city are, the cost of living and high competition for resources and opportunities arising from the socioeconomic activities of tourism, trade and fishing.

Historical Progress

The city was initially a financial and trading center and the British made it to be the second largest financial and trading center after Shanghai. Hanyang town is the industrial area hosting car factories and other advanced industries (Fan, et. al., 2017). In recent times the city hosts important political events and functions. These functions have helped the government in identifying development areas by observing the residents activities and cultural practices. This has led to development of learning institutions like political colleges within the city.

It was where many colonial powers had consulates and Japanese trading firms. The west also had trading firms consisting of textile and engineering companies. The city also helped the country as being the center for the 1911 revolution. The city has been currently known as a major industrial city in China harboring the nationalist government (Zou, et. al., 2016). The vast history of trade and international linkage has made the city to be one of the most advanced cities in China. Some of the old buildings and sites still exists as tourist attraction centers for studies and foreign exchange earnings. These factors have improved the living standards of the people but also increased competition, high cost of goods and services, high taxation from the government for trading permits and exports.

The rich history of the city has made it emerge as the best center for auto productions inviting investors in the city from various parts of the world as evidenced by the continuous growth of Honda, GM and Citroen companies. Other changes have been advancement in fishing equipment and water and train transportation systems to facilitate the trade in Wuhan seafood market.

Control Evaluation

Risk assessment and justification

The researcher used a qualitative risk assessment approach for control evaluation. The selected approach is the What-If Analysis because it would determine the things that can go wrong and evaluating the likelihood and consequences of particular situations occurring (Nguyen, et. al., 2018). It is the most effective approach for the case study as it evaluates a variety of factors leading to the risks. The factors may also change depending on the participants’ perceptions and views. Therefore, it is a brainstorming method and does not involve any mathematical calculations or assumptions.

What If?AnswerLikelihoodConsequencesRecommendations
A tourist is mugged?Insecure tourists sitesQuite possibleSerious, because the city depends on the tourists for revenues and income which improves the livelihood of the people.Increase the number of police officers patrolling the sites.
Transport systems, equipment and communication systems breakdown?A residential story building collapses?Poor planning, inspections and regulation of building materials, place and construction companypossibleLoss of human life, loss of development permits, loss of trust in the construction authorities, poorly developed urban centersThorough research on development opportunities, Corrupt officials should be prosecuted and rules and regulations reviewed to remove gaps of corruption practices.
A pandemic, like Covid-19 emerges?Poor health practices in the markets, poor feeding habits, lack of veterinary doctors for inspection of the animals in the marketsVery possibleDeath tolls and wide spread of a disease due to the congestion of the marketsImprove the health standards of the market areas, provide veterinary doctors in the animal markets, and reduce congestion in the markets by providing other market areas.
Political instability?Many political parties and activistsunlikelyCurfews, lockdowns, strikes, market closures, high cost of livingForm uncorrupt government bodies, one government, increase intelligence surveillances
High rates of theft, kidnappings, piracy and cybercrimes?Inflation, unemployment and underemploymentpossibleHigh costs of living, poor living conditions of residents, loss of confidence in security agencies, high mortality rates, underdevelopment of the cityCreation of job opportunities, civic education, review of cyber laws, advancement in technologies and improved health and emergency response systems

Control Recommendations